Kalshi prediction market analysis
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Be the wisdom, not the crowd
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
KANE1.7x59%
YAMAL5.6x18%
$6.6M volume31 related markets
September hold is the favorite now, but a hike at 35% is far from done
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
FED MAINTAINS …1.5x66%
HIKE 25BPS2.9x34%
$4.5M volume5 related markets
Oil's war premium has faded — but $115 before year-end still has a real price
Since last month's Middle East supply scare pushed these bets near 50-50, the war premium has unwound sharply. Traders now put $115 WTI before year-end at 28% —…
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
$115.01 OR ABO…3.2x31.3%
$125.01 OR ABO…3.3x30.3%
$6.9M volume10 related markets
Ella Langley is still the favorite, but this Best New Artist race just reopened
Darline Graham leads South Carolina’s special Senate primary after Trump’s endorsement
Lakers near 84% for Bronny's next team as the board clears out
Dee Valladares leads Big Brother winner odds after Week 1 Head of Household
Democrats are slight favorites to hold more governorships after 2026
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?DEMOCRATIC PAR…1.9x54%REPUBLICAN PAR…2.7x37%$209K volume3 related marketsFavorite and runner-up are closer than a clean two-party story: Democrats lead Republicans to hold more governorships after…
Democrats are a heavy favorite in North Carolina, with a closer race underneath
Will Democrats win the Senate race in North Carolina?COOPER1.1x91.2%WHATLEY11.0x9.1%$1.3M volume2 related marketsNorth Carolina’s former governor Roy Cooper is the Democratic nominee for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. Traders…



















