Ella Langley is still the favorite, but this Best New Artist race just reopened
Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
LANGLEY1.7x59%
SIENNA SPIRO4.0x25%
$85K volume40 related markets
Kalshi prediction market analysis
Squarefade
Be the wisdom, not the crowd
Daily Sports
Today’s game boards — odds and a short read.
Football Green Bay vs Pittsburgh
Kalshi has Green Bay near 59% (Pittsburgh 41%) on Green Bay vs Pittsburgh.
GREEN BAY1.7x59%
PITTSBURGH2.4x42%$431K volume2 related marketsBasketball Washington vs Las Vegas
Kalshi has Las Vegas near 69% (Washington 33%) on Washington vs Las Vegas.
LAS VEGAS1.5x67%
WASHINGTON3.0x33%$407K volume2 related marketsBasketball Los Angeles vs New York
Kalshi has New York near 78% (Los Angeles 23%) on Los Angeles vs New…
NEW YORK1.3x78%
LOS ANGELES4.2x24%$157K volume2 related markets
Latest analyses
Open markets — longer reads and reference hubs.
Traders price Hormuz “normal” traffic as a mid-2027 question
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?BEFORE JUL 1, …1.9x52%BEFORE APR 1, …2.1x47%$29M volume12 related marketsThe Strait of Hormuz is still running far below the traffic threshold this market uses for “normal.” Traders…
Traders lean toward Anthropic IPO confirmation before November
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?BEFORE APR 1, …1.1x90%BEFORE FEB 1, …1.1x89%$1.1M volume10 related marketsAnthropic confidentially filed a draft registration statement (Form S-1) with the SEC in June. Traders favor a confirmed…
Democrats are slight favorites to hold more governorships after 2026
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?DEMOCRATIC PAR…1.8x55%REPUBLICAN PAR…2.8x36%$209K volume3 related marketsFavorite and runner-up are closer than a clean two-party story: Democrats lead Republicans to hold more governorships after…
