Kalshi prediction market analysis
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Be the wisdom, not the crowd
Newsom leads a crowded 2028 Democratic field while polls still favor Harris
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
NEWSOM5.6x18%
OSSOFF6.3x16%
$158M volume40 related markets
Nobody has formally entered the 2028 Democratic presidential race. National surveys in July still put Kamala Harris first; Kalshi prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the favorite anyway.
Traders put nearly even money on WTI revisiting $115 before year-end
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?$115.01 OR ABO…2.1x47.5%$120.01 OR ABO…2.5x39.6%$6.3M volume10 related marketsA 48% chance WTI revisits $115 before year-end still leaves $120-plus with real room after this week’s Middle…
Fake News leads Democrat on Trump’s WHCD mention bets
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026?SAYS “FAKE NEWS”88%SAYS “DEMOCRAT”80%$973K volume40 related marketsThree months after gunfire emptied the Washington Hilton ballroom before President Donald Trump could speak, the White House…
Democrats are slight favorites to hold more governorships after 2026
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?DEMOCRATIC PAR…1.9x54%REPUBLICAN PAR…2.9x34%$98.9K volume3 related marketsFavorite and runner-up are closer than a clean two-party story: Democrats lead Republicans to hold more governorships after…










































