About Squarefade

Squarefade publishes market analysis on liquid Kalshi prediction markets: what the bet is, what the price implies, what moves it, and what to watch. Each piece covers a single market and is written for a retail reader.

The name is the point of view. In betting slang, a square is a casual bettor who follows the crowd; to fade is to bet against. Squarefade reads markets more carefully than the crowd does — not to tip trades, but to show what the price is saying and what would have to change.

Squarefade is the institutional author of every analysis. There are no personal bylines.

AI disclosure

Squarefade analyses are produced with AI drafting and editorial tooling, then checked against mechanical gates and published under Squarefade’s standards. Prices and facts are tied to a dated market snapshot; treat each piece as analysis of that snapshot, not live trading advice.