Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Milwaukee vs Philadelphia

Milwaukee vs Philadelphiaupdated — Sep 23Open on Kalshi
MILWAUKEE1.6x62%
PHILADELPHIA2.6x39%
$1.8M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Milwaukee near 55% (Philadelphia 47%) on Milwaukee vs Philadelphia. That is a lean, not a lock. About $438K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Milwaukee near 55% returns about $182 if they win (before fees); Philadelphia near 47% returns about $213.

Logan Henderson is listed for Milwaukee; Aaron Nola for Philadelphia. On the season they sit 98-59 and 87-70. Over the last 5 games, Milwaukee went 3-2 and Philadelphia went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Logan Henderson for Milwaukee; Aaron Nola for Philadelphia.
  2. Season record Milwaukee 98-59; Philadelphia 87-70.
  3. Last five games Milwaukee went 3-2 in their last 5; Philadelphia went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.