Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Toronto vs Texas

Toronto vs Texassettled — Sep 20, 2026, 4:45pm ETOpen on Kalshi
TORONTO100%
$1.1M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Toronto near 87% (Texas 14%) on Toronto vs Texas. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $660K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Toronto near 87% returns about $115 if they win (before fees); Texas near 14% returns about $714.

Spencer Miles is listed for Toronto; Jacob deGrom for Texas. On the season they sit 76-79 and 78-77. Over the last 5 games, Toronto went 1-4 and Texas went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Spencer Miles for Toronto; Jacob deGrom for Texas.
  2. Season record Toronto 76-79; Texas 78-77.
  3. Last five games Toronto went 1-4 in their last 5; Texas went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 2:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.