Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Toronto vs Texas

Toronto vs Texassettled — Sep 19, 2026, 9:04pm ETOpen on Kalshi
TEXAS100%
$2.1M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Texas near 97% (Toronto 4%) on Toronto vs Texas. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.1M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Texas near 97% returns about $103 if they win (before fees); Toronto near 4% returns about $2500.

Cal Quantrill is listed for Texas; José Soriano for Toronto. On the season they sit 77-77 and 76-78. Over the last 5 games, Texas went 4-1 and Toronto went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers José Soriano for Toronto; Cal Quantrill for Texas.
  2. Season record Toronto 76-78; Texas 77-77.
  3. Last five games Toronto went 2-3 in their last 5; Texas went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.