Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Atlanta vs Houston

Atlanta vs Houstonsettled — Sep 18, 2026, 1:39pm ETOpen on Kalshi
ATLANTA100%
$703K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Atlanta near 53% (Houston 48%) on Atlanta vs Houston. That is a lean, not a lock. About $163K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Atlanta near 53% returns about $189 if they win (before fees); Houston near 48% returns about $208.

Tyler Mahle is listed for Atlanta; Peter Lambert for Houston. On the season they sit 89-64 and 77-76. Over the last 5 games, Atlanta went 2-3 and Houston went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Tyler Mahle for Atlanta; Peter Lambert for Houston.
  2. Season record Atlanta 89-64; Houston 77-76.
  3. Last five games Atlanta went 2-3 in their last 5; Houston went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.