Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs Texas

Boston vs Texassettled — Sep 17, 2026, 9:16pm ETOpen on Kalshi
BOSTON100%
$1.8M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Texas near 83% (Boston 18%) on Boston vs Texas. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.8M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Texas near 83% returns about $120 if they win (before fees); Boston near 18% returns about $556.

Tyler Alexander is listed for Texas; Sonny Gray for Boston. On the season they sit 76-76 and 82-70. Over the last 5 games, Texas went 4-1 and Boston went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sonny Gray for Boston; Tyler Alexander for Texas.
  2. Season record Boston 82-70; Texas 76-76.
  3. Last five games Boston went 2-3 in their last 5; Texas went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.