Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Philadelphia vs Washington

Philadelphia vs Washingtonsettled — Sep 16, 2026, 9:22pm ETOpen on Kalshi
PHILADELPHIA100%
$2.8M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Philadelphia near 98% (Washington 3%) on Philadelphia vs Washington. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.8M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Philadelphia near 98% returns about $102 if they win (before fees); Washington near 3% returns about $3333.

Zack Wheeler is listed for Philadelphia; Jared Simpson for Washington. On the season they sit 83-68 and 71-81. Over the last 5 games, Philadelphia went 1-4 and Washington went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia; Jared Simpson for Washington.
  2. Season record Philadelphia 83-68; Washington 71-81.
  3. Last five games Philadelphia went 1-4 in their last 5; Washington went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.