Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago WS vs Cleveland

Chicago WS vs Clevelandsettled — Sep 15, 2026, 9:23pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CLEVELAND100%
$4.3M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Chicago WS near 82% (Cleveland 19%) on Chicago WS vs Cleveland. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $4.3M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Chicago WS near 82% returns about $122 if they win (before fees); Cleveland near 19% returns about $526.

Chris Murphy is listed for Chicago WS; Foster Griffin for Cleveland. On the season they sit 77-73 and 76-75. Over the last 5 games, Chicago WS went 2-3 and Cleveland went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Chris Murphy for Chicago WS; Foster Griffin for Cleveland.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 77-73; Cleveland 76-75.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 2-3 in their last 5; Cleveland went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.