Kalshi prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner?

Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner?updated — Aug 13Open on Kalshi
PHILADELPHIA1.5x67%
MINNESOTA2.9x34%
$2.7M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Philadelphia near 67% (Minnesota 34%) on Philadelphia vs Minnesota. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.7M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Philadelphia near 67% returns about $149 if they win (before fees); Minnesota near 34% returns about $294.

Aaron Nola is listed for Philadelphia; Taj Bradley for Minnesota. On the season they sit 64-58 and 60-62. Over the last 5 games, Philadelphia went 2-3 and Minnesota went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Aaron Nola for Philadelphia; Taj Bradley for Minnesota.
  2. Season record Philadelphia 64-58; Minnesota 60-62.
  3. Last five games Philadelphia went 2-3 in their last 5; Minnesota went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.